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Nasdaq:RXRX
Healthcare Biotechnology

RECURSION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.

AI-driven biotechnology firm accelerating drug discovery for rare diseases and oncology through proprietary synthetic data generation platforms.

■ Key Metrics

Revenue
$74.7M
Net Income
$-644.8M
Gross Profit
$3.7M
Operating Cash Flow
$-371.8M
Total Assets
$1.47B
Shareholders' Equity
$1.13B
Cash & Equiv
$743.3M

⚖ Investment Thesis

Bull Case

Recursion offers investors exposure to the transformative potential of AI in biotechnology, potentially revolutionizing how drugs are discovered and developed before clinical trials even begin. The company has secured strong partnerships that provide a steady stream of milestone payments, reducing the immediate need for product sales to sustain operations. If any of its pipeline candidates receive approval, the resulting blockbuster drugs could generate billions in revenue, offering massive asymmetric upside.

Bear Case

The widening net losses and reliance on continuous capital raises present a high risk of dilution or insolvency if clinical trials fail or partnerships are terminated. Current financial metrics show gross profit of only $3.7M against $651.9M in operating expenses, highlighting an unsustainable burn rate for a company with no commercialized products. The heavy dependency on non-operating income and financing cash flows suggests the business model has not yet achieved product-market fit or operational self-sufficiency.

◉ About RECURSION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.

Recursion Pharmaceuticals (RXRX) leverages artificial intelligence to accelerate drug discovery, targeting rare diseases and cancer across the United States, Europe, and Japan. The company operates a computational biology platform that generates synthetic data to optimize clinical trials and reduce R&D timelines. Its revenue streams primarily consist of licensing fees and grants from strategic partnerships with major pharmaceutical entities.

⚙ Analysis

Management Discussion

Despite a substantial increase in revenue from $39.8M in 2022 to $74.7M in the latest period, Recursion's profitability has deteriorated significantly with net losses widening from -$239.5M to -$644.8M over five years. The company managed to grow its cash and equivalents from $603.0M to $753.9M through financing activities, offsetting the negative operating cash flow of -$371.8M. Management is prioritizing capital allocation toward high-potential drug targets while managing a retained earnings deficit of -$2.08B.

Industry Overview

The biotechnology sector is currently experiencing a paradigm shift towards data-driven drug discovery, where companies integrating AI are gaining a competitive edge over traditional R&D models. Recursion operates in this high-growth niche, competing with other computational biology firms and big pharma internal AI divisions to capture value from accelerated development cycles. Regulatory scrutiny remains high as the FDA evaluates the safety and efficacy of drugs discovered through novel AI methodologies.

☰ Financial Statements

Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025
Revenue$39.8M$44.6M$58.8M$74.7M
Cost of Revenue$48.3M$42.6M$45.2M$71.0M
Gross Profit$-8.4M$2.0M$13.6M$3.7M
Operating Expenses$237.3M$352.0M$492.6M$651.9M
Operating Income$-245.7M$-350.1M$-479.0M$-648.1M
R&D$155.7M$241.2M$314.4M$475.3M
G&A$81.6M$110.8M$178.2M$176.6M
Stock-Based Comp$27.9M$53.5M$81.7M$111.2M
D&A$11.8M$24.4M$36.5M$83.7M
Depreciation$11.4M$15.9M$18.3M$33.7M
Amortization$379.0K$8.5M$18.8M$50.3M
Other OpEx$0$0$0$0
Non-Operating Income$0$17.9M$14.2M$3.2M
Interest Expense$55.0K$97.0K——
Pre-Tax Income$-245.7M$-332.1M$-464.8M$-644.9M
Income Tax$0$-4.1M$-1.1M$-136.0K
Continuing Ops$-245.7M$-328.1M$-463.7M$-644.8M
Discontinued Ops$0$0$0$0
Net Income$-239.5M$-328.1M$-463.7M$-644.8M
Minority Interest$0$0$0$0
Net to Common$-239.5M$-328.1M$-463.7M$-644.8M
Metric2022202320242025
Current Assets$569.8M$438.1M$714.3M$812.8M
Cash & Equivalents$549.9M$391.6M$594.4M$743.3M
Marketable Securities$0———
Accounts Receivable$0———
Other Current Assets$19.9M$46.6M$119.9M$69.6M
Long-Term Assets$131.5M$215.6M$734.3M$661.3M
PP&E (Net)$88.2M$86.5M$141.1M$103.9M
Intangibles$1.3M$36.4M$335.9M$309.9M
Goodwill$801.0K$52.1M$148.9M$162.2M
Operating Leases$33.3M$33.7M$65.9M$45.3M
Other LT Assets$7.9M$6.9M$42.7M$40.0M
Total Assets$701.3M$653.7M$1.45B$1.47B
Current Liabilities$100.3M$93.2M$187.5M$147.7M
Accounts Payable$4.6M$4.0M$21.6M$18.1M
Current Leases$6.0M$6.1M$13.8M$12.7M
Deferred Revenue$56.7M$36.4M$61.8M$37.6M
Other Current Liab$97.0K$41.0K$8.4M$9.1M
Long-Term Liabilities$115.2M$97.1M$226.3M$195.6M
LT Operating Leases$44.4M$43.4M$67.2M$46.6M
Other LT Liab$536.0K$2.4M$40.3M$34.9M
Total Liabilities$215.5M$190.3M$413.8M$343.3M
Shareholders' Equity$485.8M$463.4M$1.03B$1.13B
Paid-In Capital$1.13B$1.43B$2.47B$3.17B
Retained Earnings$-639.6M$-967.6M$-1.43B$-2.08B
AOCI$0—$-7.6M$36.7M
Total L&E$701.3M$653.7M$1.45B$1.47B
Metric2022202320242025
Net Income (CFO)$-239.5M$-328.1M$-463.7M$-644.8M
Non-Cash Adjustments$51.5M$77.7M$114.5M$352.7M
Working Capital Changes$104.4M$-37.5M$-10.0M$-79.7M
Cash from Operations$-83.5M$-287.8M$-359.2M$-371.8M
Capital Expenditures$37.1M$12.0M$13.7M$6.5M
Cash from Investing$193.2M$-10.2M$260.1M$-16.9M
Debt Repayments$90.0K$766.0K——
Cash from Financing$154.3M$140.1M$304.1M$521.5M
FX Effect$-307.0K$188.0K$-3.4M$18.0M
Net Change in Cash$263.8M$-157.7M$201.6M$150.9M
Beginning Cash$295.3M$559.1M$401.4M$603.0M
Ending Cash$559.1M$401.4M$603.0M$753.9M

Frequently Asked Questions

How does RECURSION PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. make money?

The company's financials reflect operations centered on its computational biology platform, which includes core research services generating revenue of $74.7M in the latest fiscal year. Significant portions of operating expenses ($651.9M) are allocated to research and development ($475.3M) and general administrative functions, indicating a focus on high-risk, high-reward drug candidate identification rather than traditional product sales.

What are the main risks for RXRX?

The company is burning cash at a rate of $644.8M in net loss, relying heavily on equity issuances ($528.9M) to fund operations which dilutes existing shareholders. Success is entirely contingent on the commercial viability of future drug candidates since current revenue comes from fees rather than product sales. The heavy reliance on grant income and partnership milestones makes cash flow highly sensitive to external funding conditions and regulatory approvals. High operating expenses relative to low gross profit ($3.7M) indicate significant pressure on margins typical for early-stage biotech firms.

What is RXRX's competitive advantage?

Recursion possesses a unique proprietary dataset generated from its imaging platform that creates synthetic data for drug discovery, offering a significant moat against competitors relying solely on public genomic data. The company's ability to rapidly iterate through chemical space and identify novel targets reduces the typical decade-long timeline of traditional pharmaceutical R&D. Strategic collaborations with top-tier pharma partners provide immediate commercialization pathways for discovered assets without requiring massive upfront capital expenditure.

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Not financial advice. All content is for informational purposes only. Data may contain errors. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.