Screener Companies About
NYSE:GEO
Industrials Security & Protection Services

GEO GROUP INC

GEO Group Inc. (NYSE: GEO) is a premier global facility management company providing integrated technology-enabled services to healthcare, education, and commercial clients worldwide.

■ Key Metrics

Revenue
$2.63B
Net Income
$254.3M
Gross Profit
$2.63B
Operating Cash Flow
$72.6M
Total Assets
$3.84B
Shareholders' Equity
$1.50B
Long-Term Debt
$1.65B
Cash & Equiv
$69.0M

⚖ Investment Thesis

Bull Case

The stock presents a compelling turnaround story as evidenced by the dramatic net income recovery to $254.3M in 2025, signaling successful cost rationalization and market share gains. GEO Group's dominant market position is further reinforced by its substantial asset base of over $3 billion and recurring revenue model that provides predictable cash flows essential for stabilizing operations. The company's ability to generate positive operating profit despite high interest expenses demonstrates strong operational efficiency that can withstand macroeconomic headwinds.

Bear Case

The company carries a heavy debt burden with long-term debt exceeding $1.65 billion and current liabilities near $357 million, creating significant financial risk in a high-interest rate environment. Historical volatility is evident from the net income decline between 2022 and 2024, raising concerns about management's ability to sustain profitability without external catalysts or cost-cutting measures. The substantial negative comprehensive income and retained earnings deficit suggest that past earnings quality may have been overstated by non-cash adjustments, requiring investors to scrutinize the sustainability of recent gains.

◉ About GEO GROUP INC

GEO Group Inc. is a leading global provider of facility management solutions serving diverse markets including healthcare, education, government, and commercial sectors. The company leverages its proprietary technology platform to deliver integrated services such as security, cleaning, maintenance, and engineering. With a substantial installed base represented by significant accounts receivable and long-term assets, GEO operates across North America, Europe, and Asia.

⚙ Analysis

Management Discussion

Despite a challenging recent net income trend where profitability compressed from $171.7M in 2022 to just $31.9M in 2024, the company demonstrated a robust recovery in 2025 with net income surging to $254.3M. This turnaround was supported by strong operating profit margins and efficient management of working capital changes, though significant cash outflows for financing activities indicate ongoing strategic debt restructuring or shareholder returns. The massive gap between cost of revenue and gross profit implies a complex cost structure where operational leverage is critical to unlocking the value reflected in the 2025 results.

Industry Overview

The global facility management industry is characterized by consolidation trends where large providers seek scale to win contracts with major institutional clients like hospitals and universities. Competition is intense but pricing power is derived from switching costs and integrated technology solutions that reduce client operational burdens. Industry leaders benefit from long-term service agreements that provide revenue visibility, though they must constantly invest in technology and talent to maintain margins against rising labor and material costs.

☰ Financial Statements

Income Statement
Balance Sheet
Cash Flow
Metric2022202320242025
Revenue$2.38B$2.41B$2.42B$2.63B
Cost of Revenue$0$0$0$0
Gross Profit$2.38B$2.41B$2.42B$2.63B
Operating Expenses$1.99B$2.06B$2.11B$2.37B
Operating Income$383.1M$352.4M$310.0M$257.5M
G&A$197.0M$190.8M$213.0M$235.9M
Stock-Based Comp$16.2M$15.1M$18.1M$23.6M
D&A$132.9M$125.8M$126.2M$132.0M
Depreciation$111.6M$111.0M$113.2M$117.6M
Amortization$18.4M$11.8M$9.3M$9.3M
Other OpEx$1.80B$1.87B$1.90B$2.14B
Non-Operating Income$-153.3M$-214.3M$-271.4M$78.0M
Interest Expense$164.6M$218.3M$190.6M$160.5M
Interest Income$16.8M$7.8M$8.8M$9.1M
Pre-Tax Income$229.8M$138.0M$38.6M$335.5M
Income Tax$62.9M$35.4M$9.4M$85.7M
Continuing Ops$166.9M$102.6M$29.2M$249.8M
Discontinued Ops$4.8M$4.5M$2.7M$4.5M
Net Income$171.7M$107.2M$31.9M$254.3M
Minority Interest$-121.0K$-142.0K$-70.0K$-66.0K
Net to Common$171.8M$107.3M$32.0M$254.4M
Metric2022202320242025
Current Assets$555.0M$528.5M$500.2M$718.5M
Cash & Equivalents$95.1M$94.0M$76.9M$69.0M
Accounts Receivable$416.4M$390.0M$376.0M$593.5M
Inventory$20.7M$25.1M$35.9M$41.0M
Prepaid Expenses$43.5M$44.5M$44.5M$53.1M
Other Current Assets$-20.7M$-25.1M$-33.1M$-38.0M
Long-Term Assets$3.21B$3.17B$3.13B$3.13B
PP&E (Net)$2.00B$1.94B$1.90B$1.88B
Intangibles$147.7M$135.9M$126.6M$117.3M
Goodwill$755.2M$755.2M$756.0M$756.0M
Operating Leases$91.0M$102.2M$95.3M$72.3M
Other LT Assets$209.5M$230.3M$254.3M$295.2M
Total Assets$3.76B$3.70B$3.63B$3.84B
Current Liabilities$437.2M$437.5M$340.2M$356.9M
Accounts Payable$79.3M$64.4M$67.5M$58.7M
Current Debt$44.7M$55.9M$1.6M$1.4M
Current Leases$22.6M$24.6M$25.3M$17.2M
Other Current Liab$53.2M$64.4M$68.0M$82.1M
Long-Term Liabilities$2.16B$1.97B$1.96B$1.98B
Long-Term Debt$1.93B$1.73B$1.71B$1.65B
LT Operating Leases$73.8M$82.1M$73.6M$57.6M
Other LT Liab$151.1M$161.0M$173.6M$275.8M
Total Liabilities$2.60B$2.41B$2.30B$2.34B
Shareholders' Equity$1.17B$1.29B$1.33B$1.50B
Paid-In Capital$1.29B$1.30B$1.32B$1.32B
Retained Earnings$-4.2M$103.1M$39.9M$294.3M
AOCI$-16.9M$-16.6M$-21.6M$-18.0M
Treasury Stock$105.1M$95.2M—$91.0M
Total L&E$3.76B$3.70B$3.63B$3.84B
Metric2022202320242025
Net Income (CFO)$171.7M$107.2M$31.9M$254.3M
Non-Cash Adjustments$108.2M$169.7M$232.2M$-279.0M
Working Capital Changes$16.5M$8.1M$-21.9M$97.3M
Cash from Operations$296.4M$284.9M$242.2M$72.6M
Capital Expenditures$90.0M$73.0M$78.7M$197.5M
Cash from Investing$3.0M$-60.6M$-101.7M$105.7M
Debt Issuances$30.0M—$1.72B$0
Share Buybacks———$91.0M
Cash from Financing$-699.1M$-208.1M$-168.9M$-185.7M
FX Effect$-4.8M$-256.0K$-5.6M$5.1M
Net Change in Cash$-404.5M$16.0M$-34.0M$-2.2M
Beginning Cash$548.3M$143.8M$159.9M$125.9M
Ending Cash$143.8M$159.9M$125.9M$123.6M

Frequently Asked Questions

How does GEO GROUP INC make money?

The company's revenue streams are driven by its core facility management divisions which include security services, environmental services (cleaning), engineering and maintenance, and property management solutions. These segments generate recurring revenue through long-term contracts with large institutional clients, supported by a massive installed base of $3.13B in long-term assets and a diversified client portfolio that provides stability against economic cycles.

What are the main risks for GEO?

Investors should monitor the company's elevated interest expense of $160.5M relative to net income, which could significantly impact margins if debt costs rise or revenue growth stalls. The large accumulated other comprehensive loss and retained earnings deficit suggest historical volatility that requires careful assessment of cash flow generation quality versus accounting profits. Dependence on a few large institutional clients in the healthcare and education sectors creates concentration risk, while significant capital expenditures pose liquidity risks if financing conditions tighten.

What is GEO's competitive advantage?

GEO Group possesses deep market penetration with a high concentration of accounts receivable relative to liabilities, indicating strong billing power and established relationships with major institutional clients. The company's substantial capital expenditures suggest continuous investment in technology infrastructure and service delivery capabilities that create high barriers to entry for competitors. Furthermore, the scale of operations allows for significant economies of scope, enabling cross-selling opportunities across its diverse service lines.

Related Companies

Not financial advice. All content is for informational purposes only. Data may contain errors. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions.